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Work and life kept me from posting last week’s rankings, but sometimes it is good to let things happen and watch the developments.

No real major upsets last week, but one thing seems to be crystallizing as we head into the Thanksgiving holiday.  The NFC West is clearly the best division in football.  All four teams rank in the top ten, and all comes from their respective defensive prowess.  If one were to average their ratings, the division is a full nine points better than the rest of the league.  Compare that with the AFC South whose leading team, the Indianapolis Colts, is ranked 28th, and Tennessee with a 5-6 record, is playoff eligible.  To put it simply, the average AFC South team is a full 17 points worse than the average NFC West team.

Given that, this week’s game of the week has the St. Louis Rams at the San Francisco 49′ers in a battle of NFC West teams that both post top ten defenses.  The 49′er home field advantage is too much here, and I anticipate San Francisco winning 24-16.

Here come the ratings, and Happy Thanksgiving!

NFL Team TOTAL PR OFF PR DEF PR OFF HFA DEF HFA RANK OFF RANK DEF RANK LAST WEEK
Seattle Seahawks 78.2 49.0 26.9 2.0 2.6 1 4 3 3
San Francisco 49ers 78.1 45.1 29.7 3.2 3.3 2 15 2 7
Denver Broncos 77.6 56.8 20.7 0.3 -0.2 3 1 16 2
Carolina Panthers 77.5 45.9 30.5 -0.8 2.9 4 12 1 1
New England Patriots 76.9 53.8 21.6 1.1 1.9 5 2 13 5
Cincinnati Bengals 76.8 50.1 25.4 1.2 1.3 6 3 6 4
St. Louis Rams 74.7 48.7 24.5 2.5 0.4 7 5 9 8
New Orleans Saints 74.4 46.8 24.8 2.9 2.6 8 8 8 6
Arizona Cardinals 71.7 44.5 24.5 3.7 1.6 9 17 9 14.5
Philadelphia Eagles 70.7 46.3 25.0 -1.5 0.2 10 11 7 9
Pittsburgh Steelers 70.3 45.5 22.4 2.6 2.1 11 14 12 16
Baltimore Ravens 69.8 40.8 26.5 2.4 2.6 12 28 4 11
Miami Dolphins 68.7 42.9 25.7 1.4 -1.3 13 21 5 14.5
Kansas City Chiefs 68.4 44.1 23.2 0.8 1.3 14 18 11 10
San Diego Chargers 68.3 47.3 18.4 1.3 3.8 15 7 25 19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68.1 46.5 21.2 -0.1 0.8 16 10 14 17
Detroit Lions 67.8 45.8 19.6 2.3 2.4 17 13 18 13
Dallas Cowboys 66.7 45.1 19.5 3.6 0.6 18 15 19 18
Chicago Bears 66.3 46.6 18.7 2.4 -0.4 19 9 22 12
Buffalo Bills 65.1 43.9 18.5 1.2 4.2 20 19 24 20
Minnesota Vikings 64.9 48.4 15.2 1.9 0.7 21 6 32 24
Green Bay Packers 63.9 41.1 20.7 3.3 0.9 22 27 16 22
New York Giants 63.1 41.7 21.1 -0.5 1.1 23 25 15 25
Tennessee Titans 61.8 43.0 18.4 0.6 0.2 24 20 25 27
Cleveland Browns 61.3 41.9 19.0 -0.3 1.0 25 23 20 23
Atlanta Falcons 61.0 41.4 17.7 2.3 1.5 26 26 28 29
Washington Redskins 60.6 41.8 18.9 1.4 -1.7 27 24 21 26
Indianapolis Colts 60.3 42.8 16.0 0.7 2.2 28 22 31 21
Oakland Raiders 58.0 40.8 17.3 0.1 -0.4 29 28 29 30
New York Jets 57.6 38.2 17.3 0.3 3.8 30 31 29 31
Houston Texans 57.4 39.1 18.3 -1.0 0.9 31 30 27 28
Jacksonville Jaguars 55.2 35.5 18.7 1.3 0.7 32 32 22 32
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